QB Seasons with 26-31 Passing Touchdowns, 8-12 Interceptions, 2010-2023
The table below includes every season for a quarterback from 2010 to 2023 with the following stat line: 26-31 touchdown passes and 8-12 interceptions.
The Russell Wilson era in Denver did not go as expected for the Broncos' front office and Broncos fans. They are expected to draft a quarterback in the 2024 NFL draft, which begins Thursday, April 25th.
Denver went 7-8 with Wilson as a starter - he threw for 26 TDs and 8 INTs. With two more games, he likely would have finished with 29 TDs and 9 INTs, which is close to his career average for both. The purpose of this table is to see how often QBs have similar production and what the expected win total is for their teams.
Numbers
- There are 33 seasons with quarterbacks meeting the above criteria, 23 with winning records (69.7%), 5 with losing records (15.2%)
- 14 seasons with 10+ wins (42.4%)
- 13 seasons with 4+ game winning drives
- Avg Comp % for the 10+ win teams: 64.6%. Avg Comp % for the 4-9 win teams: 65.8%
- Avg TD-INT ratio for the 10+ win teams: 28-10. Avg TD-INT ratio for the 4-9 win teams: 28-10
- Avg NFL passer rating for the 10+ win teams: 98.2. Avg NFL passer rating for the 4-9 win teams: 97.3
- Avg yards per attempt (incl. sacks) for 10+ win teams: 6.30. Avg yards per attempt for 4-9 win teams: 5.91
Notes
- The best and worst possible outcomes in this search are 31-8 and 26-12 TD-INT ratios
- Despite the above possible outcomes, there is no difference in production between the playoff caliber teams (10+ wins) and the rest
- Here are the rankings over the last 14 seasons for an NFL passer rating of 98 (see Team Rankings for more):
- 2010 - 5th
- 2011 - 5th
- 2012 - 8th
- 2013 - 8th
- 2014 - 5th
- 2015 - 8th
- 2016 - 7th
- 2017 - 9th
- 2018 - 10th
- 2019 - 12th
- 2020 - 13th
- 2021 - 9th
- 2022 - 9th
- 2023 - 9th
* Ranking in table based on team wins
Check out Pro Football Reference's Stathead for more.